Hot-Hand Phenomenon

The Hot-Hand Phenomenon refers to the belief that a person who has experienced a successful outcome in a series of events is more likely to continue achieving positive results in subsequent events. This phenomenon is commonly observed in sports, especially basketball, where players believe that making several consecutive shots increases their chances of making the next shot.

The Hot-Hand Phenomenon has been extensively studied in psychology and statistics, with researchers attempting to determine if it is a real effect or simply a cognitive bias. Despite anecdotal evidence and players’ personal experiences supporting the existence of the hot hand, statistical analyses often fail to find substantial evidence for it.